Fantasy basketball suggestions and NBA betting picks for Monday
ESPN’s fantasy basketball and basketball betting suggestions cheat sheet is your pregame vacation spot for basketball betting predictions and our greatest intel and information, that includes ESPN’s proprietary Basketball Energy Index (BPI) that will help you make good fantasy and wagering choices. NBA recreation odds for Feb. 6 are offered by Caesars Sportsbook, and fantasy recommendation relies on ESPN 10-team leagues.
What it’s good to for Monday’s video games
The NBA hardly ever disappoints on the deadline. Wheeling and dealing main abilities and cherished draft property has develop into a part of the model. Whereas we frequently have fun such blockbuster offers for the way they create new narratives and shift competitors amongst conferences, we additionally are likely to overlook how such star-driven transactions affect the potential of youthful and lesser-known rotation gamers.
We notice the Brooklyn Nets divested themselves of the Kyrie Irving expertise in Sunday’s commerce with Dallas for a bundle of regular position gamers and picks. Nobody participant on the Nets will eat Irving’s elite offense and heavy utilization, nevertheless it’s develop into clearer that second-year taking pictures guard Cam Thomas and journeyman Edmond Sumner advantage larger roles within the weeks forward.
Thomas, contemporary from a career-high 44 factors in a latest win over the Washington Wizards and nonetheless a free agent in practically 90% of ESPN leagues, is the participant to prioritize in fantasy leagues. He is flashed with elevated alternatives earlier than and now Brooklyn will truly depend on such contributions. Sumner, obtainable in 98% of leagues, is a perfect streaming possibility in tonight’s matchup with the LA Clippers; I mission him to succeed in six fantasy factors per $1,000 spent on DraftKings (lengthy a threshold for vital worth).
When Seth Curry was dealt to Brooklyn final 12 months, we noticed Tyrese Maxey enter a brand new offensive orbit that has develop into a part of his profession arc. Spencer Dinwiddie – earlier than ending up again in Brooklyn within the Irving swap – struggled to suit with the Washington Wizards final season and but ultimately thrived after touchdown subsequent to Luka Doncic. Glue man Josh Hart went from position participant for the New Orleans Pelicans to a fantasy league-winner final spring on a barren Portland Path Blazers rotation. The listing goes on.
Alternative within the NBA can show profound, as this endlessly proficient league all the time has somebody able to step up. Jordan Poole, for instance, is my top-rated DFS play of tonight’s slate as he adopts Stephen Curry’s utilization and shot weight-reduction plan versus the Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder. As offers develop this week, be sure that to analyze which gamers may floor as statistical stars.
— Jim McCormick
Breaking down Monday’s slate
Boston Celtics at Detroit Pistons
7 p.m. ET, Little Caesars Enviornment, Detroit, Michigan
Information (Towards the Unfold)
Celtics: 37-16 (26-26-1)
Pistons: 14-40 (24-29-1)
Line: Celtics (-11)
BPI Projection: Celtics (124-113)
Cash Line: Celtics (-600), Pistons (+430)
BPI Projected winner: Celtics (84.4%)
Complete: 230 factors BPI Projected Complete: 237 factors
Harm Report:
Celtics: Luke Kornet, (GTD – Ankle); Marcus Good, (OUT – Ankle); Danilo Gallinari, (OUT – Knee)
Pistons: Isaiah Stewart, (GTD – Hip); Marvin Bagley III, (OUT – Hand); Cade Cunningham, (OUT – Decrease Leg)
Notice: BPI numbers issue gamers who’re dominated out however assumes GTD gamers will play
Fantasy streamer: Derrick White (rostered in 52.2% of ESPN leagues) continues to be a viable streamer whereas Marcus Good is out as a result of a proper ankle sprain. He is scored 30 or extra fantasy factors in 5 of his final six video games. The Pistons rank twenty ninth in factors allowed per 100 possessions, which is nice information for White. — Eric Moody
Fantasy streamer: Jalen Duren (rostered in 22.9% of ESPN leagues) bought into foul hassle in opposition to the Suns on Saturday and completed with solely 10 fantasy factors. Regardless of this, he has scored 27 or extra fantasy factors in every of his earlier six video games. You should not overlook Duren if you happen to want a middle. He’s in the midst of an excellent rookie season. — Moody
Greatest guess: Bojan Bogdanovic over 21.5 factors. Bogdanovic is a staple at scoring for the Pistons, and he is a metronome. In his final 9 video games, Bogdanovic has averaged 23.2 PPG, with at the least 21 factors in seven of the 9. The Celtics’ protection is powerful on the inside, however Bogdanovic assaults extra from the perimeter, so he ought to be capable of get his pictures. In two video games in opposition to the Celtics this season, he is averaged 22.5 PPG. — Snellings
Greatest guess: Jayson Tatum over 29.5 factors. Tatum struggled from the sphere in opposition to the Suns on Friday, and that will have pushed his line down a bit and offered this chance. Tatum nearly by no means scores beneath 30 factors. Earlier than Friday, he had scored at the least 30 factors in 10 of his earlier 12 video games with a median of 32.3 PPG throughout that stretch. He scored 43 and 31 factors in his two video games in opposition to the Pistons earlier this season. — Snellings
Development: The Boston Celtics go on the highway for the primary time in practically two weeks, nevertheless it could not be in a extra inviting spot: the Detroit Pistons are 4-12 ATS over their previous 16 residence video games. In case you’re making an attempt to get cute with the overall. It’s price noting that beneath tickets have cashed in 69.2% of Celtics highway video games, a quantity that jumps to 75% if you simply have a look at their highway covers. — Kyle Soppe
Cleveland Cavaliers at Washington Wizards
7 p.m. ET, Capital One Enviornment, Washington, D.C.
Information (Towards the Unfold)
Cavaliers: 33-22 (28-25-2)
Wizards: 24-28 (24-27-1)
Line: Cavaliers (-3.5)
BPI Projection: Cavaliers (124-113.1)
Cash Line: Cavaliers (-165), Wizards (+140)
BPI Projected winner: Cavaliers (64.8%)
Complete: 220.5 factors BPI Projected Complete: 230.2 factors
Harm Report:
Cavaliers: Caris LeVert, (GTD – Hamstring); Dylan Windler, (OUT – Hamstring)
Wizards: Bradley Beal, (GTD – Foot); Anthony Gill, (OUT – Basic Soreness); Kyle Kuzma, (OUT – Ankle)
Notice: BPI numbers issue gamers who’re dominated out however assumes GTD gamers will play
Fantasy streamer: Corey Kispert (rostered in 1.0% of ESPN leagues) is an intriguing streamer on Monday night time as a result of Bradley Beal is questionable as a result of left foot soreness and Kyle Kuzma has already been dominated out as a result of a sprained left ankle. Within the final six video games, Kispert has scored 20 or extra fantasy factors. — Moody
Greatest guess: Donovan Mitchell over 8.5 complete rebounds + assists. Mitchell has had some damage points (and a battle) which have restricted his minutes in latest weeks, however within the final six straight video games the place he is performed at the least 25 minutes he has produced at the least 9 complete rebounds + assists (averaging 11.1 complete RA in these six video games). — Snellings
LA Clippers at Brooklyn Nets
7:30 p.m. ET, Barclays Middle, Brooklyn, New York
Information (Towards the Unfold)
Clippers: 30-26 (29-27-0)
Nets: 32-20 (27-25-0)
Line: Clippers (-7.5)
BPI Projection: Clippers (117.1-111.1)
Cash Line: Clippers (-305), Nets (+240)
BPI Projected winner: Clippers (67.5%)
Complete: 220.5 factors BPI Projected Complete: 227.1 factors
Harm Report:
Clippers: John Wall, (OUT – Stomach)
Nets: Ben Simmons, (GTD – Knee); T.J. Warren, (GTD – Decrease Leg); Seth Curry, (OUT – Thigh); Kevin Durant, (OUT – Knee)
Notice: BPI numbers issue gamers who’re dominated out however assumes GTD gamers will play
Fantasy streamer: Cam Thomas (rostered in 11.4% of ESPN leagues) was offered a chance to shine as soon as Kyrie Irving requested a commerce and he delivered with a 63 fantasy level efficiency on Saturday in opposition to the Wizards. Ben Simmons is questionable as a result of left knee soreness and Seth Curry has already been dominated out as a result of left adductor tightness. It bodes effectively for Thomas’ fantasy worth on Monday night time. — Moody
Greatest bets: Kawhi Leonard over 26.5 factors; Paul George over 22.5 factors. Leonard has been locked in for the final month, averaging 29.1 PPG in his final 13 contests with at the least 27 factors scored in 10 of these 13 video games. George has had some down durations coping with his leg points, however when wholesome he is been scoring on the identical ranges. Even in his final six video games, he has averaged 24.5 PPG whereas going over 22.5 factors in 4 of six. The Nets aren’t significantly stingy in opposition to opposing forwards with Kevin Durant and presumably Ben Simmons out as effectively. — Snellings
Greatest guess: Kawhi Leonard over 1.5 steals. Leonard has gathered 10 steals over his final three video games. On this statistical space, he has a plus matchup in opposition to a Nets staff that turns the ball over 14.4% of their possessions, seventeenth within the league. — Moody
San Antonio Spurs at Chicago Bulls
8 p.m. ET, United Middle, Chicago, Illinois
Information (Towards the Unfold)
Spurs: 14-39 (23-30-0)
Bulls: 25-27 (29-23-0)
Line: Bulls (-10.5)
BPI Projection: Bulls (127.4-116.1)
Cash Line: Spurs (+400), Bulls (-550)
BPI Projected winner: Bulls (84.2%)
Complete: 237.5 factors BPI Projected Complete: 243.5 factors
Harm Report:
Spurs: Keldon Johnson, (GTD – Ankle); Tre Jones, (GTD – Foot); Jeremy Sochan, (OUT – Again); Romeo Langford, (OUT – Hip); Charles Bassey, (OUT – Undisclosed); Devin Vassell, (OUT – Knee)
Bulls: Alex Caruso, (GTD – Foot); Patrick Williams, (GTD – Ankle); Javonte Inexperienced, (OUT – Knee); Lonzo Ball, (OUT – Knee)
Notice: BPI numbers issue gamers who’re dominated out however assumes GTD gamers will play
Fantasy streamer: Malaki Branham (rostered in 1.6% of ESPN leagues) needs to be firmly on the streaming radar for fantasy managers in deeper codecs for the reason that Spurs are coping with a plethora of accidents. Branham has scored 40 or extra fantasy factors and has performed 30 or extra minutes in two consecutive video games. — Moody
Greatest guess: Zach LaVine over 29.5 factors + assists. As a staff, the Spurs permit essentially the most factors per recreation to taking pictures guards this season. San Antonio additionally ranks thirtieth in factors allowed per 100 possessions and likewise opponents an efficient discipline purpose share of 58.5%, the very best within the league. LaVine has averaged 23.1 factors and 4.5 assists over the past eight residence video games. — Moody
Sacramento Kings at Houston Rockets
8 p.m. ET, Toyota Middle, Houston, Texas
Information (Towards the Unfold)
Kings: 29-23 (28-24-0)
Rockets: 13-40 (20-30-3)
Line: Kings (-5.5)
BPI Projection: Kings (127.4-118.6)
Cash Line: Kings (-225), Rockets (+185)
BPI Projected winner: Kings (67.2%)
Complete: 234.5 factors BPI Projected Complete: 242.3 factors
Harm Report:
Kings: De’Aaron Fox, (GTD – Private)
Rockets: Garrison Mathews, (GTD – Toe); Kevin Porter Jr., (OUT – Foot)
Notice: BPI numbers issue gamers who’re dominated out however assumes GTD gamers will play
Fantasy streamer: Malik Monk (rostered in 15.8% of ESPN leagues) has scored 20 or extra fantasy factors in 4 consecutive video games, together with two with over 37 factors. In deeper codecs, fantasy managers ought to contemplate Monk, significantly in opposition to the Rockets. Houston ranks twenty eighth in factors allowed per 100 possessions and permits opponents an efficient discipline purpose share of 55.7%. — Moody
Development: Each the Sacramento Kings and Houston Rockets are groups that rank beneath league common in protection and above common in offensive tempo, so the excessive level projection is sensible … or does it? Unders are 7-3-1 in Houston’s previous 11 residence video games and 18-7 when the Kings play on the highway. — Soppe
Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz
9 p.m. ET, Vivint Enviornment, Salt Lake Metropolis, Utah
Information (Towards the Unfold)
Mavericks: 28-26 (18-33-3)
Jazz: 27-27 (30-24-0)
Line: Jazz (-9.5)
BPI Projection: Jazz: 125.6-112.9
Cash Line: Mavericks (+345), Jazz (-455)
BPI Projected winner: Jazz (88.3%)
Complete: 222.5 factors BPI Projected Complete: 238.5 factors
Harm Report:
Mavericks: Christian Wooden, (GTD – Thumb); Luka Doncic, (OUT – Heel); Maxi Kleber, (OUT – Hamstring); Davis Bertans, (OUT – Calf)
Jazz: Jarred Vanderbilt, (GTD – Again); Micah Potter, (OUT – Elbow)
Notice: BPI numbers issue gamers who’re dominated out however assumes GTD gamers will play
Fantasy streamer: Tim Hardaway Jr. (rostered in 15.8% of ESPN leagues) needs to be leaned on closely by the Mavericks since Luka Doncic is already dominated out and Kyrie Irving shouldn’t be anticipated to make his debut till Wednesday. This season, he averaged 16.5 factors and 4.4 rebounds per recreation when he performed 30 or extra minutes. — Moody
Greatest guess: Jazz (-9.5) Trying on the Mavericks’ lineup for tonight, it is exhausting to see how they are often aggressive. With no Luka nor Kyrie, and Wooden nonetheless listed as questionable after lacking the final eight video games with a damaged thumb, it is tough to see them occurring the highway in opposition to a stable Jazz squad and mounting a lot of a battle. The BPI projection has the Jazz successful by 11.7 factors, and I are likely to agree that this needs to be a double-digit recreation. — Snellings
Development: Cease me once I get to one thing you essentially disagree with. The Utah Jazz can rating the basketball. The Utah Jazz present little curiosity in stopping the opponent from scoring the basketball. Skilled basketball gamers can rating the basketball persistently when there may be little resistance. So yea, the Dallas Mavericks are going to be very short-handed tonight (Luka Doncic has already been dominated out and Kyrie Irving is not anticipated to debut till Wednesday), however each of those groups are bottom-10 in protection and an opportunity for some lesser used gamers to showcase their potential. In case you’re shopping for the concept that Dallas will not be tremendous aggressive, however can at the least rating, then it’s price being conscious that the Jazz have coated 9 of their previous 12 video games which have gone over the overall. — Soppe
Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder at Golden State Warriors
10 p.m. ET, Chase Middle, San Francisco, California
Information (Towards the Unfold)
Thunder: 25-27 (33-19-0)
Warriors: 27-26 (24-28-1)
Line: Warriors (-4)
BPI Projection: Warriors: 125.6-115.5
Cash Line: Thunder (+152), Warriors (-180)
BPI Projected winner: Warriors (57.6%)
Complete: 236 factors BPI Projected Complete: 233.1 factors
Harm Report:
Thunder: Luguentz Dort, (GTD – Hamstring); Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, (OUT – Ankle); Aleksej Pokusevski, (OUT – Decrease Leg); Chet Holmgren, (OUT – Foot)
Warriors: Andre Iguodala, (OUT – Hip); Stephen Curry, (OUT – Decrease Leg)
Notice: BPI numbers issue gamers who’re dominated out however assumes GTD gamers will play
Fantasy streamer: Donte DiVincenzo (rostered in 9.7% of ESPN leagues) can be leaned solely closely by the Warriors with Stephen Curry out as a result of a left leg damage. Whereas enjoying 30 or extra minutes a recreation this season, he averages 12.4 factors, 5.7 rebounds, and 4.3 assists. — Moody
Greatest guess: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 43.5 factors + assists + rebounds. This season, the Warriors have allowed the fifth most factors per recreation to level guards. He is averaged 31.2 factors, 5.6 assists and 4.9 rebounds within the final 12 video games. Gilgeous-Alexander is well-positioned to succeed in opposition to a Warriors staff now with out Stephen Curry. — Moody
Greatest guess: Jordan Poole over 23.5 factors. Poole tends to step his scoring up closely when Curry is out. When Curry missed from December 16 by way of January 7, Poole averaged 27.9 PPG whereas scoring over 23.5 factors in 9 of the 11 video games. The Thunder aren’t significantly stingy in opposition to opposing guards, so he ought to be capable of get his appears to be like on Monday. — Snellings
Milwaukee Bucks at Portland Path Blazers
10 p.m. ET, Moda Middle, Portland, Oregon
Information (Towards the Unfold)
Bucks: 36-17 (28-22-3)
Blazers: 26-27 (27-25-1)
Line: Bucks (-4)
BPI Projection: Blazers (123.7-121.9)
Cash Line: Bucks (-180), Blazers (+152)
BPI Projected winner: Blazers (56.5%)
Complete: 239.5 factors BPI Projected Complete: 245.6 factors
Harm Report:
Bucks: Giannis Antetokounmpo, (GTD – Knee); Bobby Portis, (OUT – Knee); Serge Ibaka, (OUT – Private)
Blazers: Drew Eubanks, (GTD – Again); Gary Payton II, (GTD – Sickness); Justise Winslow, (OUT – Ankle); Jusuf Nurkic, (OUT – Calf)
Notice: BPI numbers issue gamers who’re dominated out however assumes GTD gamers will play
Greatest guess: Brook Lopez over 18.5 factors + rebounds. This season, the Path Blazers permit essentially the most factors per recreation to facilities, whereas Lopez has averaged 14.1 factors and 6.3 rebounds per recreation regardless of two latest lackluster performances. He completed with 14 factors and 4 rebounds in opposition to the Path Blazers again on November twenty second, 2022. — Moody
Development: Positive, the Portland Path Blazers have received 5 of seven video games and yea, Damian Lillard is averaging 40 factors per recreation over that stretch, however the degree of competitors has been … underwhelming. They’re simply 2-8 ATS over their previous 10 video games as a ‘canine, a tricky pattern to take right into a recreation in opposition to a Milwaukee Bucks staff that’s 17-12-1 ATS when favored by greater than three factors. Of notice: overs are 13-4 in these 17 Buck covers. — Soppe
